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Cairn Homes plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

7,297.32

increased by 1,984.60

1 Week

5,288.25

decreased by 24.47

1 Month

5,010.49

decreased by 302.23

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Cairn Homes plc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 26, 2017 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0843
5.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9013
203.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0475
-1.66*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9988
862.54***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days