Skip to main content
V-Lab

Pt Bali Bintang Sejahtera Tb Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

131.39

decreased by 24.72

1 Week

167.65

increased by 11.54

1 Month

239.72

increased by 83.61

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 11:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Pt Bali Bintang Sejahtera Tb ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 127% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1705
2.10**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0976
10.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8406
188.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1237
8.41***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-