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Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

3,431.84

increased by 934.40

1 Week

3,438.85

increased by 941.41

1 Month

4,819.14

increased by 2,321.70

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 11, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2578
18.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6929
54.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0752
-6.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,735.5250

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days