V-Lab
Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3,386.78
increased by 106.90
1 Week
4,279.82
increased by 999.94
1 Month
4,602.53
increased by 1,322.65
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 11, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2419 | 18.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7131 | 58.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0657 | -6.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,792.7089 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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