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Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,386.78

increased by 106.90

1 Week

4,279.82

increased by 999.94

1 Month

4,602.53

increased by 1,322.65

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 11, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2419
18.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7131
58.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0657
-6.48***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,792.7089

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days