V-Lab
Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
3,913.71
increased by 244.73
1 Week
4,280.32
increased by 611.34
1 Month
3,757.55
increased by 88.57
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 11, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2403 | 17.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7178 | 59.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0674 | -6.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,755.8020 |
Persistence:
0.924
Half-life:
9 days
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