Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
3,431.84
increased by 934.40
1 Week
3,438.85
increased by 941.41
1 Month
4,819.14
increased by 2,321.70
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 11, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2578 | 18.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6929 | 54.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0752 | -6.55*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,735.5250 |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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