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Basilic FLY Studio Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

3,704.54

increased by 59.68

1 Week

3,923.66

increased by 278.80

1 Month

3,875.66

increased by 230.80

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Basilic FLY Studio Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 11, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 24% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1429
12.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8402
114.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0339
2.81***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days