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Azorim Invt Dev & Constr ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

5,260.36

decreased by 535.15

1 Week

5,356.12

decreased by 439.39

1 Month

5,404.95

decreased by 390.56

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Azorim Invt Dev & Constr ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 24, 2002 to Aug 20, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1232
2.05**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8379
133.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0250
-0.22
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.31
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
2.19**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.02

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days