V-Lab
Arihant Superstructures Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
11,638.55
1 Week
7,451.92
1 Month
4,799.94
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2967 | 1.39 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7576 | 72.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2967 | -1.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.0562 | 1.70* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0010 | 1.64 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5732 | 15.14*** |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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