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Arihant Superstructures Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

10,407.39

increased by 2,506.80

1 Week

7,077.41

decreased by 823.18

1 Month

5,151.07

decreased by 2,749.52

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arihant Superstructures Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 25, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8934
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0106
3.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9040
189.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1707
29.99***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-