Skip to main content
V-Lab

Anya Polytech & Fertilizers ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

59,886.90

decreased by 156.87

1 Week

58,983.86

decreased by 1,059.91

1 Month

56,258.36

decreased by 3,785.41

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Anya Polytech & Fertilizers ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0081
21.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9960
641.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0081
-16.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

27,244.9500

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-