Anya Polytech & Fertilizers ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026
1 Day
81,905.91
increased by 1,507.67
1 Week
79,952.77
decreased by 445.47
1 Month
76,338.30
decreased by 4,059.94
Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1208 | 15.86*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8792 | 96.72*** |
0.000
Persistence0d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1208 | 15.86*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8792 | 96.72*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
0 days
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