Allied Tecnologia Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
7,284.05
1 Week
5,821.18
1 Month
7,249.12
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 12, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1424 | 0.80 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8547 | 166.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0923 | -0.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9971 | 119.31*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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