V-Lab
Access Engineering Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
4,908.14
1 Week
2,686.04
1 Month
1,489.24
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4893 | 0.81 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7218 | 47.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4893 | -0.44 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0001 | 0.86 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 1.43 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0044 | 1.99** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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