Biken Techno Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
4,756.22
1 Week
5,357.14
1 Month
6,332.75
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 12:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1145 | 0.70 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8963 | 404.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1145 | -0.43 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.6581 | 1.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9908 | 93.18*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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