V-Lab
Sakai Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
8,183.48
1 Week
6,292.32
1 Month
3,991.90
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1782 | 0.46 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7391 | 48.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1782 | -0.22 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.55 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1213 | 0.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8787 | 19.84*** |
Persistence:
0.828
Half-life:
4 days
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