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Sakai Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

6,018.17

decreased by 481.28

1 Week

4,796.43

decreased by 1,703.02

1 Month

3,313.44

decreased by 3,186.01

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sakai Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 73% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0870
28.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8813
457.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0633
10.62***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-