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Japan Oil Transportation Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

6,684.86

increased by 5,153.38

1 Week

4,108.17

increased by 2,576.69

1 Month

1,775.80

increased by 244.32

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Japan Oil Transportation Co ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
0.42
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6938
24.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0770
-0.11
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.4401
0.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1132
0.50
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8862
19.01***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days