V-Lab
Alibaba Group Hldg ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,326.50
1 Week
4,003.15
1 Month
3,624.82
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0997 | 4.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8773 | 39.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0997 | -10.00*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 12.55*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9863 | 185.43*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
Other Alibaba Group Hldg Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities