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Chien Shing Harbour Service ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

7,024.58

increased by 3,739.78

1 Week

3,579.99

increased by 295.19

1 Month

3,036.65

decreased by 248.15

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Chien Shing Harbour Service ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 6, 2018 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1797
1.76*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8362
120.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1797
-2.32**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3607
4.94***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9912
127.27***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days