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V-Lab

Value Convergence Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

114,969.80

decreased by 1,708.70

1 Week

119,926.90

increased by 3,248.40

1 Month

120,895.34

increased by 4,216.84

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Value Convergence Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1685
0.40
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8948
129.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1685
-0.81
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0001
0.45
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.42
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8628
17.65***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days