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V-Lab

Value Convergence Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

34,972.16

decreased by 4,306.55

1 Week

47,075.61

increased by 7,796.90

1 Month

136,743.50

increased by 97,464.79

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Value Convergence Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2727
6.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8280
181.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2727
-3.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9925
2,380.04***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days