V-Lab
Value Convergence Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
34,972.16
1 Week
47,075.61
1 Month
136,743.50
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2727 | 6.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8280 | 181.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2727 | -3.54*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9925 | 2,380.04*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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