V-Lab
CAR Mate MFG Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
8,696.02
1 Week
9,454.96
1 Month
12,015.04
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1194 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6829 | 9.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1194 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0646 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9354 | 5.10*** |
Persistence:
0.743
Half-life:
2 days
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