V-Lab: Groundhog Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

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Groundhog Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity Prediction for Monday, December 8th, 2025:6,401.11 (-1,290.08)

Analysis last updated: Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 06:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	126
$α$	0.3397	3.11
$β$	0.6917	52.51
$γ$	-0.3397	-2.93
$λ_{1}$	5.1752	6.09
$λ_{2}$	0.0000	0.01
$λ_{3}$	0.9596	122.27

Estimation Period:
Dec 15, 2022 to Dec 5, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on liquidity tomorrow

Liquidity Forecasts

Liquidity Forecasts

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Spline ILLIQ
Asymmetric ILLIQ
Historical ILLIQ