Galaxy Software Services COR ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
6,964.62
1 Week
6,488.85
1 Month
3,928.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 10, 2020 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2342 | 0.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5172 | 50.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2342 | -0.27 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9765 | 0.56 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0235 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.634
Half-life:
2 days
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