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Abhotel Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

9,318.20

decreased by 630.50

1 Week

5,989.90

decreased by 3,958.80

1 Month

3,342.42

decreased by 6,606.28

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abhotel Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 25, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 526 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1482
68.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8556
409.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0103
-4.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,470.9690

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

526 days