Abhotel Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
9,318.20
1 Week
5,989.90
1 Month
3,342.42
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 25, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 526 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1482 | 68.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8556 | 409.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0103 | -4.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,470.9690 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
526 days
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