V-Lab
Axis Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,020.75
1 Week
3,719.05
1 Month
2,510.69
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1380 | 0.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8825 | 65.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1380 | -0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9551 | 10.79*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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