V-Lab
Axis Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
4,291.32
1 Week
3,427.50
1 Month
2,437.96
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 389% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.83 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0302 | 13.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9111 | 271.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1175 | 24.90*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Axis Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities