V-Lab
Plastron Precision Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,108.44
decreased by 84.35
1 Week
4,138.88
decreased by 53.91
1 Month
3,267.22
decreased by 925.57
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.42 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1219 | 5.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8469 | 241.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0624 | 1.83* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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