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Sinops Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

6,078.46

decreased by 173.84

1 Week

6,151.71

decreased by 100.59

1 Month

4,479.19

decreased by 1,773.11

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sinops Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 25, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1669
0.95
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8139
189.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0258
0.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0145
1.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9855
241.84***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days