Amazia Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
789.04
1 Week
851.74
1 Month
6,902.79
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 20, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2443 | 0.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7869 | 140.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2443 | -0.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0187 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9673 | 26.26*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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