V-Lab
Bemap Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
3,945.33
1 Week
3,839.18
1 Month
6,211.42
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2002 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2943 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7496 | 128.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2943 | -0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.9992 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5307 | 2.07** |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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