V-Lab
Jorudan Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,176.50
1 Week
4,319.19
1 Month
5,810.38
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8606 | 387.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1578 | -1.25 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0997 | 1.49 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0835 | 1.47 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6767 | 6.15*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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