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Dida Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

15,326.93

increased by 13,999.84

1 Week

4,239.15

increased by 2,912.06

1 Month

3,214.74

increased by 1,887.65

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dida Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 1, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 120% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1252
5.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7996
53.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1504
5.00***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days