Hua Medicine ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,368.87
1 Week
5,489.25
1 Month
6,242.58
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2201 | 2.27** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8181 | 263.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2201 | -4.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 2.50** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0075 | 2.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3138 | 15.66*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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