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Chain QUI Development ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

6,404.73

increased by 1,296.13

1 Week

5,124.48

increased by 15.88

1 Month

4,204.37

decreased by 904.23

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chain QUI Development ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2024 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1510
3.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7405
20.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1510
-1.97**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8517
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9980
187.66***

Persistence:

0.816

Half-life:

3 days