V-Lab
Brass Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2,984.82
1 Week
3,165.66
1 Month
4,422.26
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1807 | 1.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7847 | 115.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1807 | -0.67 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.67 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.37 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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