V-Lab
Brass Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,547.63
1 Week
2,557.72
1 Month
1,995.23
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 70% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1200 | 24.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8380 | 208.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0839 | 7.73*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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