Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tian Lun Gas Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

5,015.46

increased by 62.51

1 Week

5,821.55

increased by 868.60

1 Month

10,523.30

increased by 5,570.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tian Lun Gas Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2010 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2796
17.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8266
195.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2125
-5.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

36,312.2000

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days