Tian Lun Gas Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
5,015.46
1 Week
5,821.55
1 Month
10,523.30
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2010 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2796 | 17.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8266 | 195.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2125 | -5.74*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 36,312.2000 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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