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NH Investment & Securities Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

1.14

decreased by 0.10

1 Week

1.20

decreased by 0.04

1 Month

1.24

increased by 0.00

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NH Investment & Securities Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.1295
8.16***
βGARCH0.7371
10.58***
γleverage0.1307
1.61
λ₁tau intercept0.1162
1.58
λ₂forecast adj.0.7544
4.04***
λ₃tau persistence0.2456
1.58

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1295
8.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7371
10.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1307
1.61
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1162
1.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7544
4.04***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2456
1.58

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days