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Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

157.32

increased by 38.77

1 Week

153.42

increased by 34.87

1 Month

218.59

increased by 100.04

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 582 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4041
0.40
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6925
132.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1957
-0.10
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9825
47.53***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

582 days