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Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

92.47

decreased by 12.34

1 Week

96.89

decreased by 7.92

1 Month

92.67

decreased by 12.14

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4026
7.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6932
28.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2015
-2.47**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9828
54.94***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days