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Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

238.36

decreased by 32.67

1 Week

272.54

increased by 1.51

1 Month

223.09

decreased by 47.94

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 586 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4040
0.40
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6927
132.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1957
-0.10
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9825
47.59***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

586 days