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Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

120.80

decreased by 0.26

1 Week

102.44

decreased by 18.62

1 Month

98.14

decreased by 22.92

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hunan Energy Group Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.57
αARCH0.2199
1.72*
βGARCH0.7546
30.53***
γleverage0.0511
0.30

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2199
1.72*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7546
30.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0511
0.30

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-