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Moroccan Dirham GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026

1 Day

7.19%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

7.20%

decreased by 0.00%

1 Month

7.23%

increased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/02/2024

to

11/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Moroccan Dirham GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Oct 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1666 trading days (~6.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1666 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0003
2.28**
αARCH0.0274
7.24***
βGARCH0.9721
244.56***

1.000

Persistence

1666d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
2.28**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0274
7.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9721
244.56***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1666 days