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BGI Group Joint Stock Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

37.08%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

38.63%

increased by 0.53%

1 Month

43.31%

increased by 5.21%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 04:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BGI Group Joint Stock Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2011 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4080
3.89***
αARCH0.0853
3.48***
βGARCH0.8765
53.55***
γleverage0.0147
0.32

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4080
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0853
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8765
53.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0147
0.32

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days