Uganda SE All Share Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:13.44% (+4.24%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6669 | 3.86 | |
| 0.1948 | 5.40 | |
| 0.4989 | 6.48 | |
| -0.3379 | -1.03 | |
| 0.5002 | 1.05 | |
| -0.3260 | -0.97 | |
| 0.4791 | 1.39 | |
| -0.5186 | -1.10 | |
| 0.2450 | 0.42 | |
| -0.0733 | -0.14 | |
| 0.3907 | 0.83 | |
| -1.1562 | -1.98 | |
| 1.6694 | 2.47 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 4, 2004 to Apr 4, 2025
Aug 4, 2004 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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