Skip to main content
V-Lab

S&P GSCI All Cattle Spot Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

16.87%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

16.84%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

16.76%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI All Cattle Spot Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0094
18.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0465
31.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9438
582.58***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

71 days