V-Lab
Xspray Pharma Ab ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
31,664.70
1 Week
29,476.87
1 Month
21,767.83
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1320 | 1.80* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8755 | 172.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1320 | -1.68* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.0313 | 3.11*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9934 | 195.58*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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