V-Lab
Xspray Pharma Ab ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
16,550.30
1 Week
19,224.27
1 Month
26,285.84
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1331 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8772 | 105.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1331 | -0.77 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9597 | 18.64*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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