How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	5.0000	0.23
αARCH	0.0893	3.98***
βGARCH	0.9163	82.47***
γleverage	-0.0111	-0.29

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	5.0000	0.23
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0893	3.98***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9163	82.47***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0111	-0.29

V-Lab

Trust Modaraba Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Trust Modaraba Analyses