V-Lab
Transpek Industry ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
11,860.79
1 Week
6,674.59
1 Month
5,060.16
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3063 | 0.35 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8300 | 160.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3063 | -0.19 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.50 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9419 | 30.60*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
Other Transpek Industry Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities