V-Lab
S.N.T.G.N. Transgaz S.A. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,212.83
1 Week
4,658.55
1 Month
4,917.99
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1281 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6945 | 36.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1281 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0447 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9553 | 22.45*** |
Persistence:
0.759
Half-life:
3 days
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