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Tera Yatirim Menkul Degerler ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

35,925.44

increased by 13,982.94

1 Week

12,963.73

decreased by 8,978.77

1 Month

2,950.92

decreased by 18,991.58

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Tera Yatirim Menkul Degerler ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 80% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 80% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.6172
4.47***
βGARCH0.0762
1.87*
γleverage0.4954
2.46**
λ₁tau intercept5.1528
0.51
λ₂forecast adj.1.0000
16.34***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6172
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0762
1.87*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4954
2.46**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.1528
0.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
16.34***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days