Skip to main content
V-Lab

PT Super Energy TBK ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

12,974.88

increased by 9,458.12

1 Week

5,176.39

increased by 1,659.63

1 Month

4,235.52

increased by 718.76

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PT Super Energy TBK ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2457
1.29
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8301
203.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2457
-0.67
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0095
2.02**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9878
182.36***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days