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Superloop Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

4,893.84

increased by 119.30

1 Week

5,421.32

increased by 646.78

1 Month

4,521.74

decreased by 252.80

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Superloop Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2015 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 274 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 107% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~274 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 107% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.1286
9.90***
βGARCH0.8003
45.25***
γleverage0.1371
8.14***
λ₁tau intercept0.6851
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.3202
1.97**
λ₃tau persistence0.6798
4.21***

0.997

Persistence

274d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1286
9.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8003
45.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1371
8.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6851
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3202
1.97**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6798
4.21***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

274 days