Skjern Bank ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
6,047.92
1 Week
6,081.11
1 Month
6,241.76
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 12, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 1.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8736 | 50.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0217 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0328 | 8.57*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9672 | 36.28*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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