V-Lab
Singer Bangladesh Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
10,161.98
1 Week
4,851.70
1 Month
4,847.51
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 20, 2003 to Aug 27, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4158 | 0.32 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6657 | 155.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3135 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.2056 | 0.34 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.27 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1243 | 0.67 |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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